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Phil Lilley

Ok Boys... Here We Go!

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The powers that be in Taney County met with the Corp this afternoon. The Corp advised that IF the current predictions of 4-6 inches of additional rain occur tomorrow night and Thursday, they will open the flood gates at Table Rock Dam further.

Worse case scenario is an unknown as far as exact water levels.

Western Taney County Fire personnel came by this evening and met with us and gave us the news.

He gave us the following details:

Presently releasing 20,000 cfs. Lake level at the dam is 713.1 and 702.2 at Powersite Dam (lower lake). In 1961, the Corp released 30,000 cfs, the most ever released from TRD. That raised the level of the tailwater to 717.0- an increase of 4 feet. Worse case at this point, it is reported, is set at 60,000 cfs. They are guessing that could mean 10 feet more water or 727 feet, but that's only a guess. What that level would be here is questionable. Ten feet more water would not get into any of our units but barely.

We know that water will spread out before it gets here.

Not sure what it would do to our dock.

We are going to start pulling our boats out first thing in the morning.

The Corp doesn't do anything in related to a prediction. They won't release more water today in anticiaption of rain tomorrow. When it happens, they will release water. There will be no warning. We have had all the warning we're going to get.

Some residents on the Hollister side, uplake, have already evacuated including a gal that works for us.

What this does to Bull Shoals- it's your guess. I've been saying for a week now that something is going to have to happen down there. There's just too much water and more is coming. If I had a place below BSD I'd be making preparations tomorrow!!

To our guests who have reservations... we will not hold anyone to deposits or penalties for cancellation but I wouldn't act too quickly. We've all seen these rains pass us by untouched. But it's up to you.

Pray for us and all other affected by this event. It's all just "stuff" unless someone really gets hurt.

And please don't ask what it will do to the fishing... The trout will be fine. They won't get washed away. Probably will find lots more to eat out of all this. I'm sure it'll be good but I don't think you'll see us fishing too much IF IT HAPPENS AT ALL.

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OK I know you guys a probally busy but to put it into perspective for the upper lake fisherman did the authorties say where about this would put the lake level by the dam? I havent seen any pic yet but have read that its already up on the steps by outlet 2. Would and extra 10 foot of water put it up into the shelter house area or further up even?

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Sounds like I might have even more pieces of peoples docks against mine.

Question Phil... Why ya pulling your boats? I am pretty confident my dock can support the additional flow, why wouldnt yours? Mine is 30 year old foam.

Thanks for the heads-up though. Gramps talked about floods of the past but from it sounds this might even get more than he was familiar with. He didnt buy the land until the 70s.

Will be interesting but I for one am not worried.

As an adnauseam Athiast I cant believe that what is can be changed but I do believe things happen naturally for the good. Just like the fishing in Table Rock. Those boys that fish it have adapted alright.

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Lilley, if you need any help please give me a call, I can be there on Thursday and Friday AM. Anything you need Just ask.

Capt. Don

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Would and extra 10 foot of water put it up into the shelter house area or further up even?

Yes it would be in the parking lot and shelter I would think.

We're pulling boats out because our dock is the only thing that will be affected by this event. I have no idea what higher and faster water will do to our dock so why take the chance? We won't be letting any boats out anyhow thru this. You're in a completely different situation down there. Your water level won't rise much at all.

Thanks Don.

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Fishing issues are really put into perspective when mother nature rears her head in a manner such as this. Concerns for public safty as well as property are now in my mind, as opposed to what to use to catch the trout and where to fish.

I am sure that I speak for many when I say that all of the people that face this potential flood are in my prayers.

Keep us posted, and I hope to see you this weekend.

George

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From the KRZK website

Rain Thursday Could Change Lake Levels

Click here to listen to audio

While yes, we did get some rain across the Branson area today it wasn't enough to cause and alarm for local emergency management officials. Taney County Emergency Management Director Chris Berndt says Thursday is what their eyes are on. Now, with Beaver Lake being full right now... the Corps says it would have to rain 9/10ths to an inch over the entire basin... that covers at least 1-thousand square miles in southern Missouri and northern Arkansas. If the floodgates were opened more , how much notice would be given?.... Berndt tells us...

Cut 1

If there would have to be any kind of evacuation along Taneycomo after Thursday's rain... a reception center would be set up. Berndt also says for people who live in low-lying areas around the lake you might want to think about moving items out of basements.

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I add my prayers to all the others and may God in his infinite wisdom watch over each and everyone of you.

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Phil,

If you need help getting boats out or anything else, yell.

I can be down there in 30 minutes.

Email me.

You guys, and all along Taney are being lifted up in prayer.

~Rich

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