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N9BOW

COVID-19 - Coronavirus 2019-nCoV

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1 hour ago, N9BOW said:

Nahhh...it has to do with staying in and staying home as much as possible moving forward.
I think this is a good thing to plan on doing...So I'm doing it.

AND... :are-you-for-real-: just in case yellowstone decide to burp or fart https://www.nationalgeographic.com/news/2011/1/110119-yellowstone-park-supervolcano-eruption-magma-science/... Wouldnt that be the icing on the cake? :nose-bleed:Been lots of quakes and lots of rumbling along the ring of fire for the last 2 years.. + were in a solar minimum which causes magnetic changes that could be contributing to the changes in the molten core..... :wut:....JUST SAYIN. Thats why I do this crap...I'm a paranoid kinda guy. I can multi-task on all sorts of crap that may or may not happen in my mind (So I prepare for any scenario) .........and Love life and live it to its fullest All The Time even when SHTF!

 

BTW - I was the only one doing this today (pumps were empty)....TOMORROW WHO KNOWS...... but I wont have to be there in the trenches with all the other late comers when they decide they need gas and need it now. Social Distancing was easy today on a snowy Sunday....PLUS I got to get outside even if it was just for gas

I was thinking more on the lines of the New Madrid Fault letting loose to disrupt things as a possibility.  Or a big chunk of Comet Atlas hurling off and hitting us.

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I haven't read this entire thread so I don't know if this article has already been posted.

Anyhow some interesting thoughts...


Couple days old. But interesting excerpt from an article from MIT Technology Review:

https://www.technologyreview.com/s/6...-19-really-is/

"The new coronavirus has killed more than 8,700 people, which is about 4% of the 214,000 confirmed cases, making for a shocking death rate.

But the real fatality rate among everyone infected by the virus is certainly lower, and possibly much lower. The reason epidemiologists can’t say for sure is they don’t know how many people are infected but never go to the hospital or even have symptoms. In essence, modelers are missing an accurate denominator of the death-rate calculation.

That’s a huge problem for setting policy. John Ioannidis of Stanford University, writing March 17 in the publication STAT, argued that the true death rate could be less than that of the seasonal flu. If so, “draconian countermeasures” are being decided amidst an “evidence fiasco” of “utterly unreliable” data about how many people are infected.

Just this week, a report estimated that early in the outbreak only 1-in-5 to 1-in-10 of the actual infections were being documented."

For example if you look at today's numbers from the CDC for the US (35,418 confirmed cases and 473 deaths) that comes out to a death rate of .013.

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24 minutes ago, snagged in outlet 3 said:

I saw something similar over the weekend, @netboy.  I also saw the report of the French doctor that cured all 36 people he treated with a combo of the malaria drug and Z pack.  Same thing in Korea. 

It would be very encouraging to have an effective treatment widely available.

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1 hour ago, netboy said:

I haven't read this entire thread so I don't know if this article has already been posted.

Anyhow some interesting thoughts...


Couple days old. But interesting excerpt from an article from MIT Technology Review:

https://www.technologyreview.com/s/6...-19-really-is/

"The new coronavirus has killed more than 8,700 people, which is about 4% of the 214,000 confirmed cases, making for a shocking death rate.

But the real fatality rate among everyone infected by the virus is certainly lower, and possibly much lower. The reason epidemiologists can’t say for sure is they don’t know how many people are infected but never go to the hospital or even have symptoms. In essence, modelers are missing an accurate denominator of the death-rate calculation.

That’s a huge problem for setting policy. John Ioannidis of Stanford University, writing March 17 in the publication STAT, argued that the true death rate could be less than that of the seasonal flu. If so, “draconian countermeasures” are being decided amidst an “evidence fiasco” of “utterly unreliable” data about how many people are infected.

Just this week, a report estimated that early in the outbreak only 1-in-5 to 1-in-10 of the actual infections were being documented."

For example if you look at today's numbers from the CDC for the US (35,418 confirmed cases and 473 deaths) that comes out to a death rate of .013.

Regardless of the actual death rate, when people in Italy are dying fast enough that the bodies are being hauled to crematoriums in military trucks, it's high enough and the disease is contagious enough to be a true worldwide problem, and a very serious one at that.

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2 hours ago, snagged in outlet 3 said:

I saw something similar over the weekend, @netboy.  I also saw the report of the French doctor that cured all 36 people he treated with a combo of the malaria drug and Z pack.  Same thing in Korea. 

You do not "cure" viruses, they have to run their course.  you can lessen the impact of symptoms but you cannot cure it to the best of my knowledge

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1 hour ago, Terrierman said:

Regardless of the actual death rate, when people in Italy are dying fast enough that the bodies are being hauled to crematoriums in military trucks, it's high enough and the disease is contagious enough to be a true worldwide problem, and a very serious one at that.

No doubt about that.

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