Tonight And Tomorow Weather Warning

[Zack Hoyt]

Got this at the office before I left.....

Good Morning Everyone,

While there has been severe weather in the area the last couple of days, including tornadoes, it appears that today, and especially Tuesday, have the potential to be worse.

Today's outlook is very complicated and hinges on where storms develop this morning. As of 3am we are thinking that at least a small complex of storms will form over southern Kansas in the next 6 hours and travel east-southeast across portions of eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas. These storms, if they form, they will have wind and hail potential. If they expand to cover the whole area, then they will reduce our overall threat for later this afternoon and evening as they use up they instability. If they do not form at all, we will have just isolated storm potential as the main boundaries stay north and west of our area. But if they form and just cross the north portion of our area, they will leave a boundary that will be the focus for significant supercell thunderstorm development. If that is the case, there will be the threat for a strong tornado or two near where the boundary sets up.

All data continues to indicate that late Tuesday and Tuesday night could see a major tornado outbreak across the area. Data to this point does not indicated a solid line of storms crossing the area, but rather several intense supercells will be possible. If this evolves as it could, then long-track strong tornadoes could be possible in eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas.

All comm systems should be checked and ready to go. We should not only be ready for spotter operations, but also potential recovery operations.

We would urge all EMs to be in NWSChat, this is the primary backbone method for coordinating information with us during severe weather. We are monitoring OK CEMA3. Our AWIN connection is down. We will work to see if we can get it back up.

More later,

Matthew D. Garrity RPL

Deputy Director Emergency Managment

Benton County Arkansas

215 E Central Ave #7

Bentonville, AR. 72712

Office: (479) 271 1004

Cell: (479) 426 5415

Fax : (479) 271 1084