Water was off last night?

[JestersHK]

First time I'd seen it all the way off in a looooonnnggg time.  Curious to see if this will be a pattern?  TR continues to slowly rise. 

Will be down Wednesday night and would love to be able to get out and wade at night again...

Any insight @Phil Lilley ? I see a bunch of potential rain in the forecast so we're gonna be bringing the rain gear.

[netboy]

1 hour ago, JestersHK said:

First time I'd seen it all the way off in a looooonnnggg time.  Curious to see if this will be a pattern?  TR continues to slowly rise. 

Will be down Wednesday night and would love to be able to get out and wade at night again...

Any insight @Phil Lilley ? I see a bunch of potential rain in the forecast so we're gonna be bringing the rain gear.

Looks like it is off again this afternoon. I think they are holding water back to allow the rice farmers downstream to get in and plant their fields. Bull Shoals tailwater was low yesterday and even lower today.  The lake is about 24 feet above normal so I don't know how long they can hold the water. Anyway we need to take advantage of it while we can.

[Phil Lilley]

Rain = Generation

Shall I say more.

It was nice while it lasted.

[Quillback]

Looks like 2-3" over a week?  Shouldn't be too bad I hope.  

Newport gauge is all important to understanding how they manage water.  Right now it is a little above 18' which is where they are trying to "regulate" to.  On May 14 that regulation level drops to 12 feet or possibly 14 feet.  I don't see how they are going to be releasing any significant water anytime soon with the forcasted rain unless they are forced to by flooding rains.  

From 1 December through 14 April - Regulate to 21 feet except, if a natural rise exceeding 21 feet occurs, regulate to the lesser of the observed crest or 24 feet.

 ·         From 15 April through 7 May - Regulate to 14 feet except, regulate to 21 feet,      from 15 April through 30 April, and 18 feet, from 1 May through 14 May, if the four-lake system storage exceeds 50% full.

 ·         From 8 May through 30 November - Regulate to 12 feet except, regulate to 14 feet from 15 May through 30 November, if the 4-lake system storage exceeds 70% full.

 ·         Release a minimum of firm power and in extreme cases zero if a significant reduction in critical downstream flood conditions is possible.

 ·         Prorate the flood control releases between Bull Shoals and Norfork to maintain equal percentages of available flood control storage in NF and the BV-TR-BS.

 ·         Release a maximum of 32,500 cfs from BS and 10,500 cfs from NF subject to a 50,000 cfs flow limit at Batesville.

[Gumboot]

What happens at Newport is influenced by what happens on the AR River and lower Miss.  The White has no where to go when the big river is backed up.  Big Muddy is trending lower, but that could change with projected precip.  

[JestersHK]

Dang, looks like we're going to be just a few days late at possibly seeing water off for a bit...

Thanks everyone for the info,  who knows maybe it will dissipate and stay dry lol

Fingers crossed

[snagged in outlet 3]

Good fishing weather.  

[Phil Lilley]

Forecast is getting worse. 4+ for the whole basin and bigger rain just west. It’s trending bigger. We will see flood gates again for sure. Good for trout but not for business. 

[Phil Lilley]

[JestersHK]

Guess we won't have to worry about dragging bottom... missed water off by just a few days lol story of my life.

Just hope the thunderstorms stay away.