Corps statement from their Facebook page

[Quillback]

Table Rock Lake Update:
The lake is at elevation 929.63 and falling. A combined discharge from the spillway and hydropower units of 20,000 cubic feet per second are scheduled to last up to three weeks without any additional rainfall.

So, if this continues for 3 weeks, at a rate of almost a foot drawn down every 24 hours, we should see 910 or so in a few weeks, and that would be fine by me.  Assuming no significant rain storms move in, and I don't see any in the extended forecast.

[Ham]

i'm not feeling quite as positive right now.

[Browning Guy]

910'? Should I hold my breath? Maybe a better question would be.... should those living below the dam hold their breath? Never mind, answered my own question. Just think.... if TR had been drawn down to 905-908 like "the old days", maybe millions of dollars of damage could have been avoided AGAIN. Reactive vs. Proactive

[littlejasper]

Yes!  Hold your breath....for a long, long time!  Just kiddin'. Get to work.

[dtrs5kprs]

2 hours ago, BrowningCollector.com said:

910'? Should I hold my breath? Maybe a better question would be.... should those living below the dam hold their breath? Never mind, answered my own question. Just think.... if TR had been drawn down to 905-908 like "the old days", maybe millions of dollars of damage could have been avoided AGAIN. Reactive vs. Proactive

I'd recommend against it (the breath holding, that is).

That seems like the best case outlook. Lot of it will depend on what happens north of TR and south, especially on the lower Mississippi. If it cuts loose raining below the White, that could force them to hold more water. Same for the Missouri and Ohio watersheds. All that midwest snow will eventually run somewhere. Could be bone dry in Stone County and still be a mess in terms of moving water through.

[Phil Lilley]

Here's the most recent UPDATE I've received from the Corps-

Table Rock surcharge release ended 31 1800 Dec 2015.  Currently releasing 20,000 cfs and will do so until Bull Shoals gets to 684 elevation.  Bull Shoals is currently 681.69.

Beaver passing inflow with double firm power generation equivalent, 2000 dsf, according to the water control plan. Table Rock continuing its routine release of 20000 cfs continuing to evacuate storage.    Bull Shoals continuing to rise as releases are restricted by downstream conditions.

Rainfall/Forecast. Rain returns to the forecast starting Wednesday and remains in the forecast through Sunday night.  Next forecasted rainfall includes 1.4 inch rainfall depths for Little River Basins and 0.75 inch to 1 inch for all other SWL basins starting Wednesday this week.  7-Day QPF is:
http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/p168i.gif?1451913322

RISK ASSESSMENT.
(AMBER)  District Wide Flood Storage - with all Flood Risk Management Projects using flood storage. We are very concerned about the impacts of future rainfall as we look ahead to our rainy season. SWL begins 2016 with the White River System storage at 63%.  Forecasted rainfall will slow current flood storage evacuation efforts and possibly return Beaver and Table Rock Lakes to rising pools requiring increased releases to crest pools at or below the top of their respective conservation pools.

(AMBER) Table Rock is below its top of flood pool and continues to fall slowly, releases steady at 20,000 cfs. Weather forecast is favorable to evacuate flood storage for the next 3 days.  Rainfall forecast for about 1 inch over four days beginning Wednesday, this event could cause a rising pool and require increased releases.

WHITE RIVER SYSTEM.  Beaver will have a steady to slow falling trend.  Table Rock is falling slowly.  Bull Shoals is continuing to rise and will continue this trend.  BS and NF are restricted to firm power release because Newport gage remains above regulating stage; plan to initiate secondary releases by mid-week. GF is still restricted to firm power release because of downstream conditions at the Georgetown gage.

Beaver: elev 1129.12 (90% fs) and holding; release is double firm power generation equivalent, about 2000 dfs.
Table Rock: elev 929.7 (91% fs) and falling ; releasing 20K cfs. This release will continue for several weeks.
Bull Shoals: elev 681.65 (58%fs) and rising ; restricted to firm power (3750 dsf) release.
Norfork: elev 571.14 (63% fs) and cresting; restricted to firm power (1300 dsf) release.
Greer's Ferry: elev 474.79 (48% fs) and cresting; restricted to firm power (1200 dsf) release.

Current stage at Newport is 28.62' and falling; crested at 32.26 ft on 12/30 (21' regulating stage).
Current stage at Georgetown is at 27.48' and falling; crested  at 27.97 Saturday night (21' regulating stage).

[Phil Lilley]

Table Rock has dropped from 929.53 to 929.04 in the last 24 hours.

Bull Shoals has risen from 681.81 to 682.42 in the last 24 hours.

When BS hits 684 feet, they will cut back Table Rock's flow - to what I don't know.

The levels to watch is at Newport and Georgetown.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/lmrfc/

This shows the Mississippi continuing to rise.  They're not going to let go of any water here until these levels drop. 

You have to look at all the lakes in the White River chain as one lake...  we're in a holding pattern and will continue to be in one until - #1. the Mississippi goes down or #2.  we get a bunch more rain and they have to dump.

I don't see this changing for at least a week or two.

One to 1.5 inches forecasted for Thursday and Friday.

[Browning Guy]

2 hours ago, littlejasper said:

Yes!  Hold your breath....for a long, long time!  Just kiddin'. Get to work.

Careful, I know where you live. I may have to share your secret bait with all of OA.com.  Work is subjective. Check out dad's house.  The water had dropped 3' before I took this photo last Saturday.  Still 2' below the record, but man the water was close. A new twist on "lake front property".

[MOPanfisher]

Hope they are over estimating the rainfall.  Here it is only a half inch which won't hurt us any.  Won't help but won't hurt either.  

[Phil Lilley]

In 2011, after the rains stopped, it didn't rain all summer... flood turned to drought.

We need cold weather... snow is better than rain.