3-2-16 Looking for Position Forcasting the Weather

[Bill Babler]

7 hours ago, Champ188 said:

March is a good month for an old junk fisherman who isn't smart enough to put together a real pattern. One here on this, another here on that ... etc.

Exactly.  Another deal is usually the "do overs"  Table Rock is very seldom a do over lake.  You hit it hard once and you done, done it for that and probably a day or two.  Not so much in March.  For some reason these small sections seem to load and reload for a day or two before they are gone.  Case in point my trip up the White several days back, where the only place I could catch them was a short stretch.  It kept replenishing every time I hit it in a couple of hour window.

Only the good Lord knows why they sometimes will be in such small locations and be there very strong, sometimes for only a matter of hours or a day, but in March if you find a location like this keep after it.  I hope Bigmo goes today to see if his junk held up.  That will be very interesting.

[dtrs5kprs]

Really think they are essentially "scout" fish. The earliest fish to spawn. Think that explains some of the big blacks caught in March, as the better ones seem to want to spawn first and get back to their deep trees. They are just way out in front of the bigger waves that will be coming in April.

I dislike March for a variety of reasons. In a normal year, I would much rather fish in February. Late March has been the absolute worst for me, as in the last week of the month. Usually there is a window around St Pat's when it gets popping for a bit.

[Ham]

47 minutes ago, dtrs5kprs said:

Really think they are essentially "scout" fish. The earliest fish to spawn. Think that explains some of the big blacks caught in March, as the better ones seem to want to spawn first and get back to their deep trees. They are just way out in front of the bigger waves that will be coming in April.

 

IMO, One of the things that really helps bass populations be more stable than crappie populations is that the spawn is spread out. Some fish come early and some come in much later. I have seen small largemouth spawning in July in Louisiana. I would guess that the late spawners are less successful as a whole than the fish that make up the main wave, but it protects the population from a random bad weather event or in Bull Shoals case a rapid rise in water levels.

With the weather we are having, the April fish may be the late spawners.

[gitnby]

Quote

At this point I'm thinking the only job that I might remotely qualify for is a meteorologist.  I could be wrong 90% of the time and still keep my job.

She could be wrong about the weather 100% of the time and it wouldn't bother me!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1MSSbyCIVlI

[dtrs5kprs]

1 hour ago, Ham said:

IMO, One of the things that really helps bass populations be more stable than crappie populations is that the spawn is spread out. Some fish come early and some come in much later. I have seen small largemouth spawning in July in Louisiana. I would guess that the late spawners are less successful as a whole than the fish that make up the main wave, but it protects the population from a random bad weather event or in Bull Shoals case a rapid rise in water levels.

With the weather we are having, the April fish may be the late spawners.

No doubt. Certainly less available to anglers than the crappie or whites are.

Seems like the last time we had an early warm up was 2012 (think that is right). Was the year the lake came up a little and turned brown during the FLW major. Stayed that way for a while. Even then we still had smallmouth spraying beds in early June.

I think we just get a lot more worked up about spring than the fish do. March is a time when you have to fish the water temp, not the air temp. 

[abkeenan]

1 hour ago, dtrs5kprs said:

No doubt. Certainly less available to anglers than the crappie or whites are.

Seems like the last time we had an early warm up was 2012 (think that is right). Was the year the lake came up a little and turned brown during the FLW major. Stayed that way for a while. Even then we still had smallmouth spraying beds in early June.

I think we just get a lot more worked up about spring than the fish do. March is a time when you have to fish the water temp, not the air temp. 

I think I've said this before here but my Uncle (who NEVER FISHES and uses Zebco's when he did in the 80's and early 90's) caught our Table Rock family record in a 8.5lb largemouth in early JUNE full of eggs. Caught it on a weightless Kalin grub swam on the surface. Just saying.

[Old plug]

Well Mr Bable maybe its time to face the reality. Your getting older and the body and  mind do not like to go out into a cold spring day like they used to. Only thing that never changes is the desire. That I have come to beolieve over the years does not have a thing to do with thinking and good judgements. 

[Old plug]

41 minutes ago, abkeenan said:

I think I've said this before here but my Uncle (who NEVER FISHES and uses Zebco's when he did in the 80's and early 90's) caught our Table Rock family record in a 8.5lb largemouth in early JUNE full of eggs. Caught it on a weightless Kalin grub swam on the surface. Just saying.

Sounds to me like your Uncle did not have his thinking closed up in a box like most fisherman do today. That is another thing thats been going on a long time. It was Kalan I think used to make a single tailed grib called Mogambo. It was a monster of a thing. i used it way back when and swam it on a jig just under the surface where it would make a big ripple. Have not done that in years. I can guarantee it will work as well today as back then. 

[abkeenan]

39 minutes ago, Old plug said:

Sounds to me like your Uncle did not have his thinking closed up in a box like most fisherman do today. That is another thing thats been going on a long time. It was Kalan I think used to make a single tailed grib called Mogambo. It was a monster of a thing. i used it way back when and swam it on a jig just under the surface where it would make a big ripple. Have not done that in years. I can guarantee it will work as well today as back then. 

Kalin's still makes the Mogambo grub. I have a couple of packs but haven't really given them a shot in years.

[Donna G]

13 hours ago, Champ188 said:

March is a good month for an old junk fisherman who isn't smart enough to put together a real pattern. One here on this, another here on that ... etc.

And to think, he used to be a one-trick pony.